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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
120
Markets
324
Volume
$680.7M
Sources
101/19
Poly/Kalshi
Politics / 40 markets
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
-0.1pp / $92K
<1%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.2M
<1%
Volume
$26.4M
Culture / 22 markets
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
-21.0pp / $20K
9%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 2 to October 9, 2026?
+19.8pp / $26K
22%
Volume
$973K
Sports / 19 markets
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
-3.3pp / $82K
48%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+3.0pp / $66K
46%
Volume
$38.8M
Ranked by markets · Page 1 of 5
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets / Recurring
Volume
$1.4M
Markets
16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
+95.7pp / $129K
98%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
-46.4pp / $120K
<1%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?
-38.0pp / $65K
3%
Volume
$289K
Markets
15
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
+3.5pp / $86
12%
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?
+0.3pp / $102
4%
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026?
No 24h move / $18
7%
Volume
$2.2M
Markets
14
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+0.4pp / $82K
<1%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
-2.0pp / $8K
47%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+0.5pp / $21K
43%
Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets / Recurring
Volume
$130K
Markets
12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
+4.0pp / $2K
15%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
-4.0pp / $2K
16%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
+3.0pp / $2K
25%
Volume
$987K
Markets
9
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 6?
+29.5pp / $55K
69%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 6?
+12.0pp / $126K
>99%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on October 6?
-5.9pp / $94K
<1%
Volume
$829K
Markets
7
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?
-3.4pp / $171
58%
Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $153K
<1%
Will the US strike 15 or more countries in 2026?
No 24h move / $131K
<1%
Volume
$36.9M
Open Interest
$673.7M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.2pp / $175K
20%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.0pp / $50K
<1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.1pp / $75K
<1%
Volume
$20.5M
Markets
4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-1.0pp / $175K
18%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 24h move / $316K
<1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
No 24h move / $255K
<1%
Iran / Trump / Blockade / Politics / shipping
Volume
$7.8M
Open Interest
$673.7M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
0.0pp / $109K
23%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
+0.4pp / $67K
50%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
+1.0pp / $293K
14%
Volume
$628K
Markets
4
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-11.5pp / $141K
18%
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
+11.5pp / $106K
82%
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
-0.4pp / $74K
2%
Volume
$93.6M
Open Interest
$1010.5M
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-0.1pp / $110K
<1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.0pp / $87K
<1%
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
+0.8pp / $59K
7%
2028 / US Elections
Volume
$15.6M
Open Interest
$10.7M
Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
+0.5pp / $147K
3%
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
0.0pp / $78K
<1%
Will Tim Walz be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
0.0pp / $96K
<1%
Fed
Volume
$426K
Open Interest
$313K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?
+1.0pp / $4K
73%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $12K
2%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $19K
1%
Volume
$183K
Markets
3
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: Both Teams to Score
+16.5pp / $62K
62%
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 0.5
+10.5pp / $68K
>99%
Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: O/U 2.5
+10.0pp / $51K
47%
Fed
Volume
$130K
Open Interest
$92K
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?
-6.0pp / $16
37%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their January 2027 meeting?
0.0pp / $118
61%
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2027 meeting?
0.0pp / $28K
4%
Daily temperature
Volume
$119K
Open Interest
$79K
100° or above
+15.0pp / $47K
16%
Will the maximum temperature be 98-99° on Oct 6, 2026?
+48.0pp / $40K
52%
Will the maximum temperature be 96-97° on Oct 6, 2026?
+10.0pp / $28K
24%
Volume
$14.1M
Markets
2
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 24h move / $164K
93%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
No 24h move / $154K
8%
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec / Fed Rates / Economic Policy / Fed / Business
Volume
$12.3M
Open Interest
$673.7M
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
+0.1pp / $8K
2%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
-0.1pp / $7K
96%
Fed
Volume
$6.0M
Open Interest
$2.4M
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
+1.0pp / $196K
82%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
+1.0pp / $108K
18%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $26K
1%
Basketball
Volume
$2.9M
Open Interest
$1.8M
Sacramento wins
-31.0pp / $1.5M
1%
Los Angeles L wins
+31.0pp / $1.4M
99%
Politics / houthi / Iran / traffic / Strait of Hormuz
Volume
$2.5M
Markets
2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
-2.0pp / $62K
15%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 24h move / $49K
6%
Economy / Business / Finance / Tech / Big Tech
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
+3.0pp / $9K
88%
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
-1.9pp / $8K
8%
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
-2.9pp / $1K
51%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
-0.5pp / $1K
46%
Volume
$1.9M
Markets
2
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
No 24h move / $1.8M
13%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
No 24h move / $122K
<1%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.