Markets grouped around what is actually trading

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 24h move / $181K

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

No 24h move / $157K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

+4.0pp / $193K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

-5.0pp / $85K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

No 24h move / $313K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?

+3.0pp / $154K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

-3.0pp / $53K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?

0.0pp / $25K

Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.0pp / $90K

Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.0pp / $77K

Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?

+1.0pp / $65K

Before Jan 1, 2027

-3.0pp / $2K

Sacramento wins

-31.0pp / $1.5M

Los Angeles L wins

+31.0pp / $1.4M

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House

+1.0pp / $348K

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House

+0.1pp / $148K

2026 Balance of Power: Other

+0.2pp / $68K

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.0pp / $74K

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

-2.0pp / $58K

Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 24h move / $63K

New York wins

-47.0pp / $926K

Philadelphia wins

+46.0pp / $778K

Bitcoin Up or Down on October 5?

+57.4pp / $1.5M

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

No 24h move / $30K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

-1.0pp / $44K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 5?

+0.5pp / $27K

Will the Democratic party win the governorship in Texas

-3.0pp / $10K

Phoenix wins

-41.0pp / $757K

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

No 24h move / $36K

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?

+1.0pp / $5K

Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

-0.4pp / $2K

Will the Republican party win the governorship in Nevada

+3.0pp / $12K

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

+97.2pp / $190K

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

-45.4pp / $122K

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

-41.6pp / $88K

Above 57

0.0pp / $816

Will Iran target Iraq by September 30, 2026?

No 24h move / $29K

Will GOP Nominee be Ken Paxton AND General Election Winner be Republican for Jan 2027?

+2.0pp / $11K

Will the 25th Amendment be used during Trump's Presidency?

-5.0pp / $73

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

+1.5pp / $2K

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

+1.0pp / $160