Live market ticker. Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders: 0 percent; Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings: 88 percent; Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31: 7 percent; MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1: 0 percent; Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026: 42 percent
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings88%+45.0ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 317%-87.7ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 10%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+17.1ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202619%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 399%+24.6ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League39%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 393%+44.5ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May66%-8.5ppPOLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-6.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 156%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May21%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings88%+45.0ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 317%-87.7ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 10%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+17.1ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202619%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 399%+24.6ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League39%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 393%+44.5ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May66%-8.5ppPOLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-6.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 156%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May21%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·
This article left the live edition on May 6, 2026 at 9:46 AM. Prediction market lines move quickly, so treat it as archive context rather than current coverage.
Technology / 1 MIN READ
Bitcoin Stays Above $75,000 as April Runs Out
With only days left in the month, the expected late pullback has not arrived.
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Technology
Bitcoin Stays Above $75,000 as April Runs Out
Editorial image pending
77% NOat publishPOLYMARKET
By Polly Predicts
Wednesday, April 29, 2026
Current Market Data
77% NO
current probability
77% NO
Bitcoin Stays Above $75,000 as April Runs Out
SourcePOLYMARKET
At publish77% NO
Bitcoin's long-awaited April slide toward $75,000 has not arrived. The month is nearly over, and the late pullback that once looked plausible has faded as the asset continues to hold above that threshold.
The story is now about time and resilience. Bitcoin can still move violently, but the calendar has narrowed the window for a break lower, and each session that closes above the target makes the late-month dip harder to sustain.
The related Polymarket contract has moved from 46.5% to 23.5% in a single day, a 23 percentage point reversal. That shift captures how quickly expectations changed once the end-of-month clock became the dominant fact.
Activity around the question was heavy, with $237,268.33 traded in a single day. The contract is no longer simply asking whether Bitcoin can weaken; it is asking whether enough selling pressure can arrive before April runs out.
The setup is still technically open, but it now requires a sharp catalyst and sustained pressure in a compressed window. Without that, the $75,000 level remains more like an abandoned target than an imminent destination.
Earlier confidence in a late dip made sense when there was more calendar left. Bitcoin has a history of fast reversals, and a move toward $75,000 would not have been unusual if weakness had appeared earlier in the month.
That weakness has not shown up with enough force. The remaining path is narrow, and the burden has shifted from expecting a routine pullback to needing a decisive break before the month closes.
For now, April is turning into a test of patience for anyone still waiting on the dip. Bitcoin has stayed elevated longer than the contract's early pricing suggested, and the final stretch leaves little room for hesitation.