About

Prediction markets are the signal. PMN is the newsroom built to explain it.

Prediction Market Network covers what markets are pricing right now, what is changing, and why those odds matter in the real world. We treat market moves as a reporting input, not a substitute for reporting.

What We Track

Politics, macro, world events, technology, sports, and the probability shifts that move faster than traditional headlines.

What We Are Not

PMN is not a trading venue, sportsbook, brokerage, or financial advisory service. We are an editorial publication.

How PMN Works

We look for where market conviction is building, where probabilities are changing, and where a price move reveals something new about the story.

That means our coverage starts with market structure but does not end there. We translate odds into plain-language editorial context so readers can understand both the signal and the reason behind it.

Editorial Standard

Markets can be early, smart, noisy, wrong, or all four at once. We do not present prices as facts. We present them as live signals that deserve context.

Our job is to explain what the market is pricing, not to pretend the market has already made the future happen.
Why We Look Different

Polymarket and Kalshi are platforms where markets are traded. PMN is the media layer on top of that activity: a newsroom focused on the narratives, incentives, and information that prices reveal.

We are building a publication for readers who want signal over chatter and a faster sense of where attention, conviction, and risk are moving.

Coverage Principles

  • Use market moves as a lead, not as the whole story.
  • Prefer fresh data over stale completeness.
  • Label analysis clearly and separate it from fact claims.
  • Keep the writing readable even when the market structure is complex.
Our Analysts

PMN brings together branded analysts with distinct styles and strong points of view. They do not just repeat the tape. They interpret it.

PP

Polly Predicts

Prediction Markets Analyst

Polly Predicts takes a systematic, data-driven approach to prediction markets. Her picks are rooted in volume trends, liquidity analysis, and market microstructure.

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Kali Kalshi

Macro & Economics Analyst

Kali Kalshi is a contrarian who looks for market mispricings driven by narrative overreaction. She focuses on macro catalysts that markets consistently underprice.

Policies

Markets and stories on PMN can move quickly. We publish current editorial coverage, archive older stories, and hide stale live-market data when fresh syncs are unavailable.

For legal and platform details, visit our disclaimer and privacy pages.