Markets

Polymarket traders slashed the implied probability by 15 points in 24 hours as the July 28-29 Fed meeting looms.

Active military strikes and a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz drive oil above $100, fueling a broad risk-off move in cryptocurrencies.

Traders now assign 47 percent odds to a sub-$55,000 dip by December, even as Wall Street targets exceed $140,000.

The cryptocurrency hit a two-week high on July 21, driven by the longest streak of net inflows into U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs since early July.

Prediction markets assign just 0.05 percent odds to a $35 million fundraising threshold amid conflicting entity identifications.

Prediction markets now assign overwhelming probability to Bitcoin breaching key resistance level before month-end despite macro headwinds.

Traders now see less than three-in-ten odds the index holds above 7,590 at Sunday's open after recent selloff.

Traders now price just 0.05 percent odds that OpenAI's next GPT model will debut scoring 1460 or higher by year-end.

Traders now assign just 1 percent odds that OpenAI's next GPT release will hit a 1470 benchmark score by year-end.

Preliminary National Weather Service readings show the high at Central Park reached only eighty-two degrees, far under the eighty-seven-degree mark.

Tehran's military command escalates tensions in a vital shipping lane, adding uncertainty as a cooler U.S. jobs report bolsters rate-hold expectations.