Politics

A market puts a visit before December at 89%, while the recent Washington summit offered little evidence that a meeting alone would resolve trade or technology disputes.

Kalshi traders price several potential candidates as likely to run, but the cited reporting confirms no declarations and shows Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez focused on the midterms.

Earlier meetings with Trump make another visit plausible, but the latest documented meeting was in New York and no future White House meeting is reported.

Kalshi’s listed outcomes cluster around the high forties, but thin trading behind some prices and a handful of competitive races leave the result unsettled.

The question is not which red state is most likely to elect a Democrat, but which would be reddest among states that do.

A Fed watchdog found renovation oversight failures but no grounds for a criminal referral; separate action remains possible if an audit uncovers evidence.

Kalshi traders currently favor Sheldon Whitehouse over Mike Lee, but the chairmanship depends first on which party controls the Senate and then on its choice.

Traders place him ahead of other named Cabinet officials, while reporting describes friction with Congress—not a decision to remove him.

Kalshi traders currently favor Greg Abbott, while recent surveys point in different directions as Democrat Gina Hinojosa challenges the incumbent.

Traders narrowly favor Joe Lombardo, while a recent survey had Aaron Ford ahead; the split leaves the outcome uncertain as their policy choices come into focus.

Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro both stayed away as court rulings and a last-minute withdrawal upended TV Globo’s final forum.