Real-world events, explained through live market signals.
Politics
Texas, Alaska, Ohio and Iowa are rated toss-ups, but a market tracking combinations of wins is not a forecast of Senate control.
Live Markets
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in October?
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
World / 2 MIN READ
Still liveReuters reports fading prospects for a near-term summit, while the market asks whether Kim Jong Un will visit the United States during Trump’s term.
Business / 3 MIN READ
Earlier this weekThe upcoming JOLTS report will capture vacancies at month-end, while hiring and separations measure activity across the month. Traders’ readings are unevenly backed by trading.
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Earlier this weekThe White House has not confirmed a plan, and the available reporting does not establish whether any pardons will be issued or how many people might be covered.
Politics / 3 MIN READ
Earlier this weekA polling average gives Rick Jackson a narrow lead, while sparse trading on parts of the market’s margin ladder offers little clarity about the result.
World / 2 MIN READ
Still liveAn opposition lead does not settle who can form a government; provisional projections leave coalition negotiations, and Netanyahu’s departure, uncertain.
World / 2 MIN READ
Earlier this weekTraders see different chances for Russian entry into Druzhkivka, Sloviansk and Kramatorsk, but sparse or absent trading makes some prices hard to read.
World / 2 MIN READ
A market strongly favors more than fifteen weekly transit calls, but its confidence drops near the mid-twenties—and vessel counts are not oil volumes.
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still liveThe market compares states where Democrats win Senate seats; Texas leads its board, while polls describe a contest that remains uncertain.
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still liveKalshi prices selected names on whether they will announce a run, while a recent report said no campaign had been announced and a poll tested hypothetical primaries.
Politics / 2 MIN READ
He has agreed to attend the APEC summit in Shenzhen and is open to arms-control talks with Xi and Putin; China has pushed back on trilateral negotiations.
Business / 2 MIN READ
Still liveThe league pairs new commercial agreements with limits on permitted products, personnel bans and cooperation with federal regulators.
Business / 2 MIN READ
Participation measures who is working or looking for work, but it cannot show by itself whether people who want jobs can find them or why others are outside the labor force.
Business / 2 MIN READ
Traders put the most weight on two dissents, while analysts differ on whether policymakers will deliver a unanimous hold or push for rate increases.