Live market ticker. Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders: 0 percent; Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings: 88 percent; Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31: 7 percent; MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1: 0 percent; Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026: 42 percent
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings88%+45.0ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 317%-87.7ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 10%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+17.1ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202619%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 399%+24.6ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League39%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 393%+44.5ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May66%-8.5ppPOLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-6.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 156%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May21%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings88%+45.0ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 317%-87.7ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 10%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+17.1ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202619%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 399%+24.6ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League39%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 393%+44.5ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May66%-8.5ppPOLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-6.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 156%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May21%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·
This article left the live edition on May 6, 2026 at 12:32 AM. Prediction market lines move quickly, so treat it as archive context rather than current coverage.
Technology / 1 MIN READ
Bitcoin Runs Short on Time for April $80,000 Push
The cryptocurrency has only days left to reach a major end-of-month threshold.
90% NOat publishPOLYMARKETBy Polly PredictsWednesday, April 29, 2026
Current Market Data
90% NO
current probability
90% NO
Bitcoin Runs Short on Time for April $80,000 Push
SourcePOLYMARKET
At publish90% NO
Bitcoin's April push toward $80,000 has run out of room. The month is nearly over, and the cryptocurrency has not built the kind of late momentum needed to reach that threshold before the April 30 deadline.
The problem is timing. Bitcoin can still move sharply, but the remaining window is now measured in days, not weeks, and the asset would need a decisive break from its recent range to make the target plausible.
The related Polymarket contract now sits at 10.5%, down from 30.5% over the past day. That 20 percentage point move reflects how quickly expectations changed once the calendar became the central constraint.
Activity around the question was heavy, with $819,024.34 traded in the last day. The contract is no longer just about whether Bitcoin can rally; it is about whether that rally can happen before the deadline closes.
The $80,000 mark would have carried symbolic weight for the cryptocurrency. A print there before the end of April would have reinforced the idea that institutional demand could still drive a fast upside move on demand.
Instead, the setup has become more cautious. Bitcoin has spent the month working against resistance rather than building a clean breakout, and the final stretch leaves little margin for hesitation.
The target is not mathematically impossible, but the path is narrow. It would require sustained buying pressure and a catalyst strong enough to compress what had been a multi-week thesis into the final days of April.
For now, the April rally story is fading into a timing story. Bitcoin may still carry momentum into May, but the $80,000 deadline is no longer the clean test it looked like earlier in the month.