Live market ticker. Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders: 0 percent; Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings: 90 percent; Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31: 16 percent; MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1: 0 percent; Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026: 42 percent
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings90%+47.0ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 3116%-78.5ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 10%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+16.9ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202618%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 399%+26.1ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League39%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-5.0ppPOLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May69%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 390%+41.5ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-9.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 156%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May20%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings90%+47.0ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 3116%-78.5ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 10%-27.9ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+16.9ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202618%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 399%+26.1ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League39%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election1%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-5.0ppPOLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May69%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 390%+41.5ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-9.5ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 156%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May20%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·
This article left the live edition on April 24, 2026 at 10:32 AM. Prediction market lines move quickly, so treat it as archive context rather than current coverage.
Technology / 1 MIN READ
Bitcoin Markets Price 43% Odds Above $76K
Prediction markets show tiered rally expectations as BTC nears $75,000 with accelerating short liquidations.
57% NOat publishPOLYMARKETBy Prediction DeskFriday, April 17, 2026
Current Market Data
57% NO
current probability
57% NO
Bitcoin Markets Price 43% Odds Above $76K
SourcePOLYMARKET
At publish57% NO
Bitcoin prediction markets are pricing a dramatic rally scenario, with the April 17 market for Bitcoin above $76,000 jumping 21 percentage points in 24 hours to reach 43% probability. The surge reflects broader optimism across tiered price markets as Bitcoin trades near $75,000 following a 6% daily gain.
The $76,000 threshold market generated $271,000 in trading volume over 24 hours, representing 86% of its total $315,000 lifetime volume. This concentrated activity signals fresh conviction among traders betting on Bitcoin's ability to break through key resistance levels in the coming days. The market's resolution hinges on Bitcoin closing above $76,000 on April 17, 2026.
The rally appears driven by accelerating short liquidations as Bitcoin reclaimed the $73,000 level, according to recent market reports. Short squeeze dynamics have historically amplified Bitcoin's upside moves, creating feedback loops that push prices beyond initial resistance points. Mining company stocks have also surged alongside Bitcoin's advance, with some analysts pointing to artificial intelligence demand as an additional tailwind for the cryptocurrency ecosystem.
The tiered structure of Bitcoin prediction markets suggests traders see $75,000 as increasingly likely while remaining cautious about higher targets. For the $76,000 market to shift significantly higher, Bitcoin would likely need to sustain momentum above current levels and break through what has been a persistent ceiling around $75,000. Oil price retreats and broader equity market strength provide a supportive macro backdrop for risk assets including cryptocurrencies.
