Live market ticker. Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders: 0 percent; Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31: 18 percent; MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1: 0 percent; Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026: 42 percent; Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026: 1 percent
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 3118%-76.9ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 10%-22.4ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+16.8ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202618%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-12.5ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election2%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 396%+29.0ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May69%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 371%+22.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 155%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May19%POLYMARKET·US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 20262%-0.9ppPOLYMARKET·Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Moyuka Uchijima56%POLYMARKET·Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Riders0%-60.4ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 3118%-76.9ppPOLYMARKET·MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 10%-22.4ppPOLYMARKET·Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 202642%+16.8ppPOLYMARKET·Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 20261%POLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by May 313%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup1%POLYMARKET·the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals3%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 3110%POLYMARKET·US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 202618%POLYMARKET·Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair0%POLYMARKET·China invade Taiwan by end of 20267%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·the Iranian regime fall by June 306%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·the U.S. invade Iran before 202730%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 318%POLYMARKET·the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting0%POLYMARKET·Finland win Eurovision 202634%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 202613%-12.5ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election2%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 396%+29.0ppPOLYMARKET·Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 202629%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May69%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June17%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination1%POLYMARKET·Bitcoin Up or Down on May 371%+22.0ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 155%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May19%POLYMARKET·US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 20262%-0.9ppPOLYMARKET·Saint-Malo: Tereza Valentova vs Moyuka Uchijima56%POLYMARKET·
Prediction markets are pricing Judy Shelton's chances of Federal Reserve chair confirmation at just 3%, reflecting near-certainty that she will not secure the position. The market has attracted $2.9 million in total volume, with $512,000 traded in the past 24 hours alone as traders respond to recent developments.
The collapse in Shelton's odds follows President Trump's official nomination of Kevin Warsh as Federal Reserve chair to replace Jerome Powell. Reuters and CNBC report that the White House has formally submitted Warsh's nomination to the Senate, effectively ending speculation about alternative candidates including Shelton, who previously faced Senate confirmation challenges during Trump's first term.
The heavy trading volume suggests significant market interest in Federal Reserve leadership, particularly as investors assess monetary policy implications under new leadership. Shelton, a former Trump adviser and gold standard advocate, had been considered a long-shot candidate given her controversial economic views and previous Senate opposition.
The market remains active through October 2026, though the 3% probability indicates traders view Shelton's path to confirmation as virtually impossible following Warsh's formal nomination. Market participants will likely monitor Senate confirmation proceedings for Warsh, though separate prediction markets would typically emerge for his confirmation odds.
