Editorial Policy

How PMN turns market signals into journalism

Prediction Market Network covers prediction markets as evidence of changing expectations, not as a shortcut around reporting. This policy explains the editorial boundary.

Market Signals

Market prices are a reporting input. We look at probability level, movement, liquidity, provider context, resolution wording, and the public information that may have caused a move.

Editorial Context

A market can be early, useful, noisy, manipulated, thinly traded, or simply wrong. PMN stories should explain what the market is pricing and what uncertainty remains.

Source Handling

When a story depends on outside reporting, public data, official comments, market pages, or other primary context, PMN should surface references where available and avoid unsupported certainty.

Advice Boundary

PMN does not recommend trades, bets, contracts, assets, positions, or strategies. Coverage is informational and editorial.

Corrections

If a story needs a factual correction or material clarification, PMN should update the article and preserve reader trust by making the corrected context clear.

Staleness

Markets move quickly. PMN uses live-market context where available, labels archived stories, and avoids presenting stale odds as current.

Reader Context

If you read PMN for a fast signal, pair it with the article timestamp, market wording, live odds label, and any linked sources. The useful question is not whether a market is always right. It is what the market is pricing, why it moved, and what would change the story.