PMN
Prediction Market Network
Sports
Spurs and Thunder Enter Game 5 Tied at Two Games Each
Market signal brief
Spurs and Thunder Enter Game 5 Tied at Two Games Each San Antonio rode a 33-point performance from Victor Wembanyama to a blowout win in Game 4, setting up a pivotal matchup in Oklahoma City.
62% NO Live odds at publish 63% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 26
PMN
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Sports
Svitolina Overcomes Bondar in Three-Set Roland Garros Opener
Market signal brief
Svitolina Overcomes Bondar in Three-Set Roland Garros Opener Ukrainian seventh seed rallies from set down to reach second round in Paris.
99.9% YES Live odds at publish 99.9% YES POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 26
PMN
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Economy
Elon Musk Tweeting Spree Diverges From Historical Norms as Weekly Count Focuses Attention
Market signal brief
Economy / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Elon Musk Tweeting Spree Diverges From Historical Norms as Weekly Count Focuses Attention The Tesla chief's typical daily posting rate stands well below the elevated weekly tally under scrutiny.
54% NO Live odds at publish 77% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 25
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Economy
WTI Crude Breaks Technical Floor, Signaling Sustained Selloff May Keep Prices Low Through Month End
Market signal brief
Economy / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week WTI Crude Breaks Technical Floor, Signaling Sustained Selloff May Keep Prices Low Through Month End A key technical breakdown in WTI futures suggests the decline has further room to run as the May contract expiration nears.
100% YES Closed market at publish 99.9% YES POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 25
PMN
Prediction Market Network
World
Iran Ceasefire Holds as Permanent Peace Talks Remain Incomplete
Market signal brief
World / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Iran Ceasefire Holds as Permanent Peace Talks Remain Incomplete The White House confirmed on April 8 that a ceasefire had taken hold, but broader negotiations toward a final deal have yet to yield an announcement.
96% NO Closed market at publish 92% NO POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 25
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Economy
Elon Musk's Testimony in OpenAI Lawsuit Shadows Weekend Tweets Count
Market signal brief
Economy / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Elon Musk's Testimony in OpenAI Lawsuit Shadows Weekend Tweets Count A court appearance late last month required Musk to address his own past statements, a development that coincided with reduced posting activity.
100% NO Closed market at publish 98% NO POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 25
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Sports
Halys and Bellucci Face Off on Roland Garros Opening Day
Market signal brief
Sports / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Halys and Bellucci Face Off on Roland Garros Opening Day The two unseeded players meet in the first round, with Bellucci holding a win in their only prior tour-level encounter.
100% YES Closed market at publish 75% YES POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 24
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Sports
Rajasthan Royals Clinch Playoff Berth With 30-Run Victory Over Mumbai
Market signal brief
Sports / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Rajasthan Royals Clinch Playoff Berth With 30-Run Victory Over Mumbai Jofra Archer's all-round performance powers Royals to must-win match at Wankhede Stadium, ending Mumbai's season.
100% NO Closed market at publish 99.9% NO POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 24
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Markets
Bitcoin Consolidates Below October Peak as Analysts Flag Key Support Levels
Market signal brief
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Bitcoin Consolidates Below October Peak as Analysts Flag Key Support Levels The cryptocurrency trades near $75,000, down from an all-time high above $126,000, with technical pressures mounting.
97% NO Live odds at publish 94% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 24
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World
Trump Says Iran Peace Deal Largely Negotiated as Talks Continue Toward Deadline
Market signal brief
World / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Trump Says Iran Peace Deal Largely Negotiated as Talks Continue Toward Deadline The president described the agreement as nearly complete, while Iran called it a framework requiring further negotiations.
96% NO Closed market at publish 68% NO POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 24
PMN
Prediction Market Network
Economy
Strait of Hormuz Blockade Pushes WTI Crude Oil Past Key Price Level
Market signal brief
Economy / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Strait of Hormuz Blockade Pushes WTI Crude Oil Past Key Price Level The ongoing blockade has disrupted global oil supplies, driving WTI crude to multi-year highs and fueling market uncertainty.
95% NO Live odds at publish 92% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 24
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World
Iran Submits Revised 14-Point Peace Plan in US Talks via Pakistan
Market signal brief
World / 1 MIN READ
Earlier this week Iran Submits Revised 14-Point Peace Plan in US Talks via Pakistan Tehran reviews Washington's latest proposal as disagreements persist over Iran's enriched uranium stockpile.
96% NO Closed market at publish 68% NO POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 23
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Prediction Market Network
Politics
Trump Cancels Planned AI Model Review Order After Adviser Objections
Market signal brief
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Still live Trump Cancels Planned AI Model Review Order After Adviser Objections The White House had been studying a security review process for AI models similar to FDA drug approval, but internal opposition derailed the order.
90% NO Live odds at publish 91% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 22
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Still live White House Readies Order Urging Voluntary AI Model Reviews Before Public Launch The proposal would ask frontier AI companies to share advanced models with US authorities for evaluation ahead of release.
90% NO Live odds at publish 74% YES POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 21
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Still live Trump Administration's AI Policy Push Continues as Deadline Nears The White House has issued executive orders and a framework this year, but no specific order targeting AI model releases has been signed.
90% NO Live odds at publish 74% YES POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 21
Markets / 1 MIN READ
Still live Strategy Signals Willingness to Sell Bitcoin, Marking Shift From Longstanding Stance The software company now says it may sell holdings to fund dividends or manage taxes, as its tiny latest Bitcoin purchase raises questions about accumulation pace.
96% NO Live odds at publish 79% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 20
Economy / 1 MIN READ
Still live WTI Crude Rally Stalls Below Hot $110 Threshold as Hormuz Risks Persist The benchmark traded near $106 in early May and broke above $105.47 this week, but analysts say a sustained closure of the Strait of Hormuz would be needed to reach $110.
95% NO Live odds at publish 61% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 20
Paxton Holds 93 Percent Edge in Texas GOP Senate Runoff Prediction markets price Texas Attorney General as heavy favorite over incumbent Cornyn one week before May 26 Republican primary.
96% YES Closed market at publish 94% YES POLYMARKET Final sync recently By Prediction Desk May 19
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still live MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Odds Plunge After Firm Buys More BTC, Clarifies Strategy Polymarket traders lowered probability to 30.5% after company added 535 bitcoin and executives said any sales would be tactical, not a reversal of accumulation.
96% NO Live odds at publish 70% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 17
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still live Polymarket Odds on MicroStrategy Bitcoin Sale Sink to 27.5% After Company Buys More BTC The market plunged 28 percentage points in 24 hours after Strategy disclosed a $43 million Bitcoin purchase and executives reiterated a long-term accumulation philosophy.
96% NO Live odds at publish 73% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 17
World / 1 MIN READ
Still live Iran Peace Deal Odds Fall After Trump Rejects Tehran’s Counterproposal Polymarket contract dropped six points over the weekend as both sides hardened positions on uranium, sanctions, and the Strait of Hormuz.
53% YES Live odds at publish 74% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 17
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Prediction Market Network
Politics
Trump’s Uranium Claim Meets Tehran’s Denial as Polymarket Prices 5.5% Odds
Market signal brief
Politics / 2 MIN READ
Still live Trump’s Uranium Claim Meets Tehran’s Denial as Polymarket Prices 5.5% Odds ## President says U.S. will “excavate” Iranian stockpile; Foreign Ministry calls enriched uranium “sacred.” Traders see 94.5% chance no transfer happens by May 31.
99% NO Live odds at publish 95% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Prediction Desk May 11
World / 2 MIN READ
Still live China-Taiwan tensions simmer as 2027 approaches Beijing ramps up naval deployments and revises military rhetoric as Taipei completes blockade drills. The deadline for a potential clash looms in 2027.
91% NO Live odds at publish 91% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Polly Predicts May 5 Technology / 2 MIN READ
Still live Google aims for best AI model by June 2026 as competition intensifies The company faces an uphill battle to lead a fast-moving field
82% NO Live odds at publish 74% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Polly Predicts May 5
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Politics
Trump Faces Tight Deadline on Possible Strait of Hormuz Blockade Reversal
Market signal brief
Politics / 1 MIN READ
Still live Trump Faces Tight Deadline on Possible Strait of Hormuz Blockade Reversal Announcement on ending blockade must come before May 31 to meet contract terms
70% NO Live odds at publish 57% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Polly Predicts Apr 30
PMN
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World
U.S.-Iran Military Confrontation Remains Unresolved Amid Ongoing Tensions
Market signal brief
World / 1 MIN READ
Still live U.S.-Iran Military Confrontation Remains Unresolved Amid Ongoing Tensions Uncertainty persists over potential U.S. military action in Iran through 2027
82% NO Live odds at publish 69% NO POLYMARKET Synced recently By Polly Predicts Apr 29