Markets grouped around what is actually trading

Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.0pp / $207K

Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.0pp / $98K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

+1.2pp / $93K

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

0.0pp / $8K

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

-0.2pp / $4K

Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

+0.4pp / $47K

Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

-0.7pp / $23K

Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

-0.1pp / $5K

Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

-0.2pp / $76K

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

+0.1pp / $191K

Will Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

0.0pp / $84K

Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

+0.3pp / $70K

Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?

-0.2pp / $65K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?

-0.7pp / $267K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?

0.0pp / $191K

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

+1.0pp / $68K

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?

No 24h move / $1K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

0.0pp / $179K

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?

+1.0pp / $84K

Trump out as President before 2027?

0.0pp / $71K

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

0.0pp / $27K

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

+1.0pp / $8K

Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

-2.0pp / $55K

Will Yabloko gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

+0.3pp / $85K

Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 24h move / $56K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?

-1.0pp / $91K

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

+1.0pp / $42K

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?

-1.0pp / $24K

Fed rate hike in 2026?

+1.0pp / $24K

Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

+0.8pp / $26K

Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

+0.3pp / $8K

Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

0.0pp / $431K

Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?

+2.0pp / $42K

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5

+49.5pp / $4.0M

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: O/U 3.5

-28.4pp / $304K

Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City: Both Teams to Score

-56.4pp / $143K

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?

-0.2pp / $96K

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

No 24h move / $27K

Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-16?

+63.5pp / $2.6M

Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-16?

-35.4pp / $1.9M

Will Arsenal FC vs. Manchester City end in a draw?

-28.4pp / $303K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?

+3.0pp / $158K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?

+0.1pp / $230K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

+1.5pp / $52K

Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

0.0pp / $18K

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

-0.5pp / $474

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

0.0pp / $143K

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?

0.0pp / $67K

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

No 24h move / $35K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?

-6.5pp / $225K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?

-5.0pp / $134K

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

-3.0pp / $42K