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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
120
Markets
352
Volume
$794.9M
Sources
102/18
Poly/Kalshi
Politics / 4 markets
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-0.1pp / $110K
<1%
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.0pp / $101K
<1%
Volume
$137.3M
World / 1 market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
-1.0pp / $313K
15%
Volume
$72.2M
World / 1 market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $49K
2%
Volume
$43.6M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 5
Volume
$40.5M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
0.0pp / $73K
3%
Soccer / Sports / Awards / Ballon d'Or
Volume
$38.9M
Open Interest
$2703.9M
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+1.6pp / $70K
47%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+0.6pp / $81K
47%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
-0.3pp / $74K
2%
Volume
$36.9M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.2pp / $175K
20%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.0pp / $50K
<1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.1pp / $75K
<1%
Volume
$35.8M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.0pp / $1.3M
16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+0.6pp / $747K
85%
Volume
$35.7M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
+0.5pp / $9K
3%
Volume
$28.9M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.0pp / $424K
<1%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
-3.0pp / $153K
6%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
+1.0pp / $46K
23%
Volume
$27.7M
Open Interest
$2027.9M
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
-0.1pp / $141K
13%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $90K
<1%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $77K
<1%
Fed / fomc / Trump / Economy / Fed Rates
Volume
$27.1M
Open Interest
$1689.9M
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
+4.0pp / $212K
83%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-5.0pp / $117K
17%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $316K
<1%
Reza Pahlavi / Iran Regime / Iran / Israel / World
Volume
$26.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
-1.0pp / $104K
6%
Awards / Politics / Geopolitics / World / Nobel Prize
Volume
$26.4M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
-0.2pp / $92K
<1%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.2M
<1%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.1M
<1%
putin / Geopolitics / Ukraine / Politics / World
Volume
$24.3M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+0.4pp / $277K
3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
-1.0pp / $4K
10%
Volume
$23.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
-0.1pp / $52K
5%
2028 / US Elections
Volume
$15.6M
Open Interest
$10.7M
Will Rahm Emanuel be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
+0.5pp / $147K
3%
Will Raphael Warnock be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
0.0pp / $78K
<1%
Will Tim Walz be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?
0.0pp / $96K
<1%
Main Election / Israel Election / Politics / Middle East / Israel
Volume
$15.5M
Open Interest
$1013.9M
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-2.0pp / $58K
9%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.0pp / $71K
36%
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
+0.4pp / $4K
48%
Politics / ships / Geopolitics / Economy / Iran Ceasefire
Volume
$14.2M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
0.0pp / $46K
19%
Volume
$14.1M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0.0pp / $164K
93%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0.0pp / $155K
8%
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec / Fed Rates / Economic Policy / Fed / Business
Volume
$12.3M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
+0.1pp / $8K
2%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
-0.1pp / $7K
96%
Volume
$11.3M
Open Interest
$676.0M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
+1.0pp / $350K
9%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
+0.1pp / $150K
<1%
2026 Balance of Power: Other
+0.2pp / $67K
<1%
Iran / Trump / Blockade / Politics / shipping
Volume
$7.8M
Open Interest
$676.0M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
-1.0pp / $111K
23%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
-0.5pp / $57K
50%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
-0.5pp / $296K
13%
Fed
Volume
$6.9M
Open Interest
$3.2M
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $107K
18%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?
+1.0pp / $184K
82%
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $26K
1%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Interest
$338.0M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
-0.1pp / $1
4%
International
Volume
$3.1M
Open Interest
$1.2M
Before Jan 1, 2027
-4.0pp / $1K
14%
Basketball
Volume
$2.9M
Open Interest
$1.8M
Sacramento wins
-31.0pp / $1.5M
1%
Los Angeles L wins
+31.0pp / $1.4M
99%
Volume
$2.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
0.0pp / $633
9%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.