Baylor at Kansas

Saturday, October 24 · 1:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEBIG 12 GAME

AWAYBaylorBears52%chance to win · Polymarket 51.5% · Kalshi 52.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 9 HR 19 MINSat 1:00 PM ET

HOMEKansasJayhawks48%chance to win · Polymarket 48.5% · Kalshi 47.5%

Favorite: Baylor, 52%Spread: Baylor −0.5Total: 53.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Baylor wins	51.5%	52.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Baylor −0.5Chance Baylor wins by 1 or more	50.5%	—	—
Total: 53.5 pointsChance of 54 or more points combined	49.5%	—	—

Baylor fell from 56.5% to 51.5% on Polymarket since Oct 15, peaking at 67%. Polymarket has 51.5% and Kalshi 52.5% now.

Baylor Bears: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

50%55%60%65%70%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Polymarket 51.5%Kalshi 52.5%

Both teams play in the Big 12, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big 12	Win the national title
BaylorBears	3.5%P 4.5 · K 2.5	1.2%P 1.2 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*
KansasJayhawks	—Not listed	1%P 1 · K 1*	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.