Baylor at UCF

Friday, October 30 · 7:30 PM ET · Friday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · FRIDAY NIGHT GAMEBIG 12 GAME

AWAYBaylorBears45.7%chance to win · Polymarket 45.5% · Kalshi 46%

atKICKS OFFIN 5 DAYSFri 7:30 PM ET

HOMEUCFKnights54.3%chance to win · Polymarket 54.5% · Kalshi 54%

Favorite: UCF, 54.3%Spread: none listedTotal: none listedThe sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance UCF wins	54.5%	54%	0.5 pts

UCF rose from 45% to 54.5% on Polymarket since Oct 17, peaking at 70%. Polymarket has 54.5% and Kalshi 54% now.

UCF Knights: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

5%10%15%20%25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Polymarket 54.5%Kalshi 54%

Both teams play in the Big 12, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big 12	Win the national title
BaylorBears	5%P 5 · K 1*	3.1%P 3.1 · K 1*	1%P — · K 1*
UCFKnights	—Not listed	1%P 1 · K 1*	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.