East Carolina at Memphis

Thursday, October 22 · 7:30 PM ET · Thursday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · THURSDAY NIGHT GAMEAMERICAN GAME

AWAYEast CarolinaPirates22%chance to win · Polymarket 21.5% · Kalshi 22.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 3 HR 21 MINThu 7:30 PM ET

HOMEMemphisTigers78%chance to win · Polymarket 78.5% · Kalshi 77.5%

Favorite: Memphis, 78%Spread: Memphis −10.5Total: 53.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Memphis wins	78.5%	77.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Memphis −10.5Chance Memphis wins by 11 or more	49.5%	49.5%	Same
Total: 53.5 pointsChance of 54 or more points combined	53.5%	52.5%	1.0 pts

Memphis has stayed between 57% and 93% since Oct 15. Polymarket has 78.5% and Kalshi 77.5% now.

Memphis Tigers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%95%Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Polymarket 78.5%Kalshi 77.5%

Both teams play in the American, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the American	Win the national title
East CarolinaPirates	—Not listed	1.7%P 1.7 · K 2*	—Not listed
MemphisTigers	—Not listed	20.3%P 20.5 · K 20	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.