Ole Miss at Texas

Saturday, October 24 · 7:30 PM ET · Saturday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY NIGHT GAMESEC GAME

AWAYOle MissRebels41%chance to win · Polymarket 40.5% · Kalshi 41.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 7:30 PM ET

HOMETexasLonghorns59%chance to win · Polymarket 59.5% · Kalshi 58.5%

Favorite: Texas, 59%Spread: Texas −3.5Total: 53.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Texas wins	59.5%	58.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Texas −3.5Chance Texas wins by 4 or more	47.5%	47.5%	Same
Total: 53.5 pointsChance of 54 or more points combined	52.5%	52.5%	Same

Texas fell from 72.5% to 59.5% on Polymarket since Oct 13, peaking at 83%. Polymarket has 59.5% and Kalshi 58.5% now.

Texas Longhorns: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Polymarket 59.5%Kalshi 58.5%

Both teams play in the SEC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the SEC	Win the national title
Ole MissRebels	51.5%P 38* · K 51.5	15.3%P 14.1 · K 16.5	5%P 5.5 · K 4.5
TexasLonghorns	36%P 36.5 · K 35.5	5.4%P 5.4 · K 5.5	3.8%P 4.1 · K 3.5

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.