North Dakota State at New Mexico

Saturday, October 24 · 10:00 PM ET · Saturday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY NIGHT GAMEMOUNTAIN WEST GAME

AWAYNorth Dakota StateBison35.5%chance to win · Polymarket 35.5% · Kalshi 35.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 10:00 PM ET

HOMENew MexicoLobos64.5%chance to win · Polymarket 64.5% · Kalshi 64.5%

Favorite: New Mexico, 64.5%Spread: New Mexico −4.5Total: 41.5The sites agree

The two sites agree

Polymarket and Kalshi give New Mexico the same 64.5% chance to win. Not every line here has a live price on both sites.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance New Mexico wins	64.5%	64.5%	Same
Spread: New Mexico −4.5Chance New Mexico wins by 5 or more	49.5%	49.5%	Same
Total: 41.5 pointsChance of 42 or more points combined	47.5%	—	—

New Mexico rose from 61% to 64.5% on Polymarket since Oct 13, peaking at 90%. Both sites have it at 64.5% now.

New Mexico Lobos: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%95%Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Both 64.5%

Both teams play in the Mountain West, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Mountain West	Win the national title
North Dakota StateBison	—Not listed	31%P 31 · K —	—Not listed
New MexicoLobos	16.5%P — · K 16.5	49.5%P 49.5 · K —	—Not listed