Oregon State at Fresno State

Saturday, October 31 · 11:00 PM ET · Saturday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY NIGHT GAMEPAC-12 GAME

AWAYOregon StateBeavers70.2%chance to win · Polymarket 70% · Kalshi 70.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 6 DAYSSat 11:00 PM ET

HOMEFresno StateBulldogs29.8%chance to win · Polymarket 30% · Kalshi 29.5%

Favorite: Oregon State, 70.2%Spread: Oregon State −6.5Total: 57.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Oregon State wins	70%	70.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Oregon State −6.5Chance Oregon State wins by 7 or more	—	54%	—
Total: 57.5 pointsChance of 58 or more points combined	—	51%	—

Oregon State has stayed between 61% and 73% since Oct 19. Polymarket has 70% and Kalshi 70.5% now.

Oregon State Beavers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%75%Oct 20Oct 22Oct 24Polymarket 70%Kalshi 70.5%

Both teams play in the Pac-12, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Pac-12	Win the national title
Oregon StateBeavers	13.5%P — · K 13.5	36.3%P 35.2 · K 37.5	—Not listed
Fresno StateBulldogs	—Not listed	2.7%P 2.8 · K 2.5	—Not listed