Troy at James Madison

Thursday, October 29 · 7:30 PM ET · Thursday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · THURSDAY NIGHT GAMESUN BELT GAME

AWAYTroyTrojans11.2%chance to win · Polymarket 11% · Kalshi 11.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 4 DAYSThu 7:30 PM ET

HOMEJames MadisonDukes88.8%chance to win · Polymarket 89% · Kalshi 88.5%

Favorite: James Madison, 88.8%Spread: none listedTotal: none listedThe sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance James Madison wins	89%	88.5%	0.5 pts

James Madison has stayed between 28% and 94% since Oct 16. Polymarket has 89% and Kalshi 88.5% now.

James Madison Dukes: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

25%30%35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%90%95%Oct 17Oct 19Oct 21Oct 23Oct 25Polymarket 89%Kalshi 88.5%

Both teams play in the Sun Belt, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Sun Belt	Win the national title
TroyTrojans	—Not listed	4.5%P 4.5 · K —	—Not listed
James MadisonDukes	6.5%P 5.5 · K 7.5	40%P 40* · K —	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.