Texas State at San Diego State

Saturday, October 3 · 10:30 PM ET · Saturday night game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY NIGHT GAMEPAC-12 GAME

AWAYTexas StateBobcats74.2%chance to win · Polymarket 74% · Kalshi 74.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 10:30 PM ET

HOMESan Diego StateAztecs25.8%chance to win · Polymarket 26% · Kalshi 25.5%

Favorite: Texas State, 74.2%Spread: Texas State −8.5Total: 57.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the total.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Texas State wins	74%	74.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Texas State −8.5Chance Texas State wins by 9 or more	49%	—	—
Total: 57.5 pointsChance of 58 or more points combined	50.5%	49.5%	1.0 pts

Texas State has stayed between 73.5% and 74.5% since Oct 1. Polymarket has 74% and Kalshi 74.5% now.

Texas State Bobcats: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

70%75%80%Oct 2Polymarket 74%Kalshi 74.5%

Both teams play in the Pac-12, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Pac-12	Win the national title
Texas StateBobcats	—Not listed	9%P 9.5 · K 8.5	—Not listed
San Diego StateAztecs	—Not listed	4.5%P 5.5 · K 3.5	—Not listed