UCF at Houston

Saturday, October 3 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEBIG 12 GAME

AWAYUCFKnights20.5%chance to win · Polymarket 20.5% · Kalshi 20.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEHoustonCougars79.5%chance to win · Polymarket 79.5% · Kalshi 79.5%

Favorite: Houston, 79.5%Spread: Houston −12.5Total: 51.5The sites agree

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the total.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Houston wins	79.5%	79.5%	Same
Spread: Houston −12.5Chance Houston wins by 13 or more	48.5%	—	—
Total: 51.5 pointsChance of 52 or more points combined	48.5%	47.5%	1.0 pts

Houston has stayed between 79.5% and 79.5% since Oct 1. Both sites have it at 79.5% now.

Houston Cougars: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

75%80%85%Oct 2Both 79.5%

Both teams play in the Big 12, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big 12	Win the national title
UCFKnights	—Not listed	2.2%P 3 · K 1.5	—Not listed
HoustonCougars	12%P 15* · K 12	6.5%P 7 · K 6	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.