Western Michigan at Toledo

Saturday, October 24 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEMAC GAME

AWAYWestern MichiganBroncos43.7%chance to win · Polymarket 43.5% · Kalshi 44%

atKICKS OFFIN 9 HR 9 MINSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEToledoRockets56.3%chance to win · Polymarket 56.5% · Kalshi 56%

Favorite: Toledo, 56.3%Spread: Toledo −2.5Total: 47.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 0.5 points of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Toledo wins	56.5%	56%	0.5 pts
Spread: Toledo −2.5Chance Toledo wins by 3 or more	51.5%	—	—
Total: 47.5 pointsChance of 48 or more points combined	50.5%	—	—

Toledo has stayed between 55% and 67% since Oct 18. Polymarket has 56.5% and Kalshi 56% now.

Toledo Rockets: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

50%55%60%65%70%Oct 19Oct 21Oct 23Polymarket 56.5%Kalshi 56%

Both teams play in the MAC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the MAC	Win the national title
Western MichiganBroncos	1%P — · K 1*	39.5%P 39.5 · K —	—Not listed
ToledoRockets	—Not listed	27.5%P 27.5 · K —	—Not listed

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.