Panthers at Packers

Thursday, October 29 · 8:15 PM ET · Thursday night

NFL · THURSDAY NIGHT

AWAYPanthersCarolina40%chance to win · Polymarket 40.5% · Kalshi 39.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 5 DAYSThu 8:15 PM ET

HOMEPackersGreen Bay60%chance to win · Polymarket 59.5% · Kalshi 60.5%

Favorite: Packers, 60%Spread: Packers −3.5Total: 46.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line they both price live. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Packers win	59.5%	60.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Packers −3.5Chance the Packers win by 4 or more	—	46.5%	—
Total: 46.5 pointsChance of 47 or more points combined	—	50.5%	—

The Packers rose from 37.5% to 59.5% on Polymarket since Oct 18, peaking at 83%. Polymarket has 59.5% and Kalshi 60.5% now.

Green Bay Packers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

35%40%45%50%55%60%65%70%75%80%85%Oct 19Oct 21Oct 23Polymarket 59.5%Kalshi 60.5%

Season odds for both teams, from Polymarket and Kalshi.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win their division	Win the NFC	Win the Super Bowl
PanthersCarolina	52.8%P 52 · K 53.5	48.3%P 47 · K 49.5	2.9%P 2.4 · K 3.5	1.5%P 1.5 · K 1.5
PackersGreen Bay	55.8%P 56 · K 55.5	14.3%P 15 · K 13.5	5.3%P 5 · K 5.5	2.6%P 2.6 · K 2.5