Eagles at Commanders

Sunday, November 1 · 8:20 PM ET · Sunday night

NFL · SUNDAY NIGHTNFC EAST GAME

AWAYEaglesPhiladelphia30%chance to win · Polymarket 29.5% · Kalshi 30.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSun 8:20 PM ET

HOMECommandersWashington70%chance to win · Polymarket 70.5% · Kalshi 69.5%

Favorite: Commanders, 70%Spread: Commanders −6.5Total: 40.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance the Commanders win	70.5%	69.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: Commanders −6.5Chance the Commanders win by 7 or more	48.5%	48.5%	Same
Total: 40.5 pointsChance of 41 or more points combined	48.5%	48.5%	Same

The Commanders rose from 63.5% to 70.5% on Polymarket since Oct 22. Polymarket has 70.5% and Kalshi 69.5% now.

Washington Commanders: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

60%65%70%75%Oct 23Oct 25Oct 27Oct 29Oct 31Polymarket 70.5%Kalshi 69.5%

Both teams play in the NFC East, so this game moves the division race directly.

TEAM	Make the playoffs	Win the NFC East	Win the NFC	Win the Super Bowl
EaglesPhiladelphia	8%P 9.5 · K 6.5	8.3%P 9 · K 7.5	0.9%P 0.9 · K 1*	0.3%P 0.3 · K 1*
CommandersWashington	14.8%P 14.5 · K 15	9.7%P 9.9 · K 9.5	1.2%P 1.2 · K 1*	0.4%P 0.4 · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.