Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Fed Dissent Question — The Fed’s July vote was unanimous, but the committee was not as united as it appeared. Markets put a 47% chance on a dissent at the October meeting. The outcome hinges on whether the hawks press their case amid softening economic data. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/a-unanimous-fed-vote-leaves-the-october-dissent-question-ope-kxfedd-20261002
Trump Justice Contact — Trump has criticized the Supreme Court’s recent picks, but whether he has spoken directly with a sitting justice remains unknown. Markets see a 61% chance that he has had direct contact. The question turns on what reporters can confirm about his private conversations. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/trumps-criticism-of-supreme-court-picks-leaves-direct-contac-kxtrum-20261002
Gop Wins in Harris States — Traders are focused on how many Republican wins will come in states that Harris carried. Markets put a 36% chance on exactly two or three such victories. The uncertainty comes from a lack of clear polling across the races. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/a-market-centers-on-two-or-three-gop-wins-in-harris-won-stat-kxharr-20261002
