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Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

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© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.
Anthropic's push toward the public market has slowed at the point when its ambitions are becoming clearest. The artificial-intelligence company is now expected to begin marketing its initial public offering in mid-October at the earliest, according to Reuters reporting republished by CTech. A public prospectus that had been expected as soon as early September is instead anticipated later in the month, leaving less time for investors to study one of the largest and most unusual technology offerings ever attempted. Anthropic declined to comment on the revised schedule, and the timing remains subject to change. The shift is a delay measured in weeks, but at this scale even a short change can affect financing, disclosure and the sequence of meetings with large institutions.
The delay does not undo the formal step Anthropic took in June. The company said then that it had confidentially submitted draft registration paperwork to the Securities and Exchange Commission, giving it the option to proceed after review and if conditions cooperate. CBS News reported that Anthropic had not fixed a share count or price. Its private fundraising had valued the Claude developer at $965 billion, while the company said annualized revenue had reached $47 billion. Those figures explain why bankers and investors are treating the listing as a defining test for the AI boom rather than a routine software debut. They also ensure intense scrutiny of spending, customer concentration and the cost of the computing power needed to build and operate frontier models.
The latest schedule also raises the execution stakes. Reuters reported that Anthropic is working to finalize a $15 billion revolving credit facility and that Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan and Citigroup are among the banks involved. A later prospectus could push investor meetings and the roadshow closer together, with a possible listing shortly before the November midterm elections. Prediction-market expectations have adjusted sharply: the Polymarket contract for an IPO by October 31 fell about 35 percentage points over the past week to roughly 56%, while the October 15 contract dropped even more and traded near 10%. Those prices describe market expectations, not an announced corporate calendar.
What comes next is more concrete than the valuation speculation. A public registration statement would expose financial statements, risk factors and the accounting choices behind Anthropic's rapid revenue growth. It would also clarify the offering structure, the balance between new and existing shares, and how much capital the company hopes to raise for computing infrastructure and expansion. The filing will invite comparisons with OpenAI and other heavily financed AI developers while giving analysts a clearer view of recurring sales and losses. Until that document appears, the mid-October target remains reported guidance rather than a promise. The prospectus will give public investors their first detailed basis for deciding whether Anthropic's growth can support a listing of unprecedented scale.