On July 30, 2026, President Donald Trump announced on Truth Social that the U.S.-led Board of Peace had reached a "HISTORIC agreement for the COMPLETE DISARMAMENT of Hamas and all other armed groups in Gaza." Hamas senior official Ghazi Hamad confirmed to CNN that the group accepted the deal, which is conditional on the deployment of an International Stabilization Force in the Gaza Strip.
The 15-point roadmap published by the Board of Peace outlines a phased process. A Palestinian National Committee will inventory and store weapons, with no arms transferred to Israel or any other non-Palestinian party. The agreement required a schedule for the weapons inventory to be prepared within 14 days of the July 30 announcement, a deadline that lapsed around August 13, and its status remains unclear.
Israeli officials have not endorsed the plan. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office stated that the version of the agreement made public "does not reflect Israel's positions," and far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich demanded a new cabinet vote on the deal. On August 4, the Board of Peace clarified that Israeli withdrawal from Gaza beyond the Yellow Line "will take place only once decommissioning is complete," creating a standoff over sequencing.
The agreement comes after significant developments in the conflict. Earlier in July, Hamas dissolved its government and agreed to transfer power to a technocratic National Committee. The Board of Peace has indicated that the full disarmament process, including the decommissioning of heavy weapons and tunnels, could take between 200 and 350 days, a timeline that extends well past the end of 2026.
Prediction-market odds currently reflect skepticism that a formal, unconditional disarmament announcement will emerge from Hamas by December 31, with the probability standing at 27.5% and 24-hour trading volume at $108,960. The next milestone to watch is whether Hamas issues a formal policy directive decoupled from its preconditions or whether the Board of Peace updates the status of the 14-day schedule requirement.
