IDF Confirms No Formal Ceasefire With Iran as De Facto Calm Holds — PMN Daily Video Brief

Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.

Ceasefreeze, Not Ceasefire — Iran wants guarantees and an end to Israeli ops in Lebanon, but the IDF says there's no formal ceasefire—just a de facto calm. Markets price that pause at 93% probability, which feels like a ceasefire with a wink. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/idf-confirms-no-formal-ceasefire-with-iran-as-de-facto-calm--295249-20260815

Sevilla'S Home Stand — Sevilla welcomed Rayo Vallecano to Sánchez Pizjuán yesterday, boasting a strong recent record. The oddsmakers gave them an 85% chance of making that form count—the math was on the home side's side. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/sevilla-and-rayo-vallecano-meet-in-la-liga-opener-at-snchez--335554-20260815

Playoff Math in Dc — The Washington Mystics host the L.A. Sparks with playoff positioning on the line—the Mystics have a 54% chance to boost their standing, while the Sparks just try to snap a three-game slide. Every possession counts. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/washington-mystics-host-los-angeles-sparks-with-playoff-stak-359439-20260815