Live Prediction Market Events | Prediction Market Network

Will Spain reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?>99%+25.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?21%+7.0ppKALSHI·Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?21%+5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Belgium be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?>99%+25.9ppPOLYMARKET·Will no listed leader be out before 2027?<1%POLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?78%POLYMARKET·Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?17%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will A Nation That Has Never Won the World Cup Win in 2026?8%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?56%+13.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?10%POLYMARKET·Will the next GPT model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470 by December 31, 2026?3%-67.9ppPOLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%POLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4%POLYMARKET·Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?5%-76.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?2%POLYMARKET·Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?2%POLYMARKET·Will Elissa Slotkin be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?<1%-0.2ppKALSHI·Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by July 15, 2026?2%-3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?20%-6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?44%-3.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?83%+9.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?13%-4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?41%+46.0ppKALSHI·Norway vs. England: Team to Advance35%+0.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the Miami Marlins have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?30%+28.4ppPOLYMARKET·Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?73%-11.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·

Friday, July 10, 2026

Prediction Market Network

120 Active Events

Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 5

PolymarketPolitics4 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Volume

$101.1M

Open Interest

$1701.3M

Will Adanech Abiebie be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.0pp / $5.1M

<1%

Will Gedion Timothewos be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.0pp / $3.8M

<1%

Will Demeke Mekonnen be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

0.0pp / $1.1M

<1%

PolymarketEconomy1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

Volume

$64.6M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

0.0pp / $101K

2%

PolymarketSports5 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

F1 Drivers' Champion

Volume

$50.7M

Open Interest

$2126.6M

Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.0pp / $484K

<1%

Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.0pp / $379K

<1%

Will Franco Colapinto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

0.0pp / $292K

<1%

PolymarketEconomy4 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Fed Decision in July?

Volume

$40.8M

Open Interest

$1701.3M

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

0.0pp / $355K

78%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

+1.0pp / $274K

23%

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

+0.1pp / $198K

<1%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Volume

$40.3M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

+1.0pp / $136K

17%

PolymarketPolitics1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Volume

$39.5M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

0.0pp / $117K

<1%

PolymarketPolitics2 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027

Volume

$38.5M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?

0.0pp / $101K

8%

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

-0.4pp / $97K

4%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Volume

$38.3M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

0.0pp / $15K

4%

PolymarketPolitics1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Volume

$34.7M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

0.0pp / $10K

4%

PolymarketPolitics4 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Volume

$22.2M

Open Interest

$850.7M

Will no listed leader be out before 2027?

0.0pp / $2.6M

<1%

Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?

0.0pp / $17K

<1%

Will Vladimir Putin be the next leader out before 2027?

-0.2pp / $277K

<1%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Spain vs. Belgium

Volume

$21.3M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?

+54.5pp / $20.3M

>99%

PolymarketPolitics1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Volume

$14.9M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

0.0pp / $304K

2%

PolymarketSports5 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

World Cup: Golden Boot Winner

Volume

$14.4M

Markets

5

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-3.5pp / $131K

44%

Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-0.2pp / $215K

<1%

Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

-0.4pp / $150K

<1%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Volume

$14.0M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

0.0pp / $265K

6%

KalshiEconomy5 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Fed meeting

Fed

Volume

$13.8M

Open Interest

$10.5M

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

+7.0pp / $346K

21%

Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?

-6.0pp / $157K

79%

Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their July 2026 meeting?

0.0pp / $66K

2%

PolymarketPolitics2 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Next French Presidential Election

Volume

$10.2M

Open Interest

$850.7M

Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.0pp / $251K

<1%

Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election?

0.0pp / $186K

<1%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Volume

$8.6M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

0.0pp / $183K

<1%

PolymarketPolitics1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Brazil Presidential Election

Volume

$8.0M

Open Interest

$425.3M

Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

0.0pp / $63K

10%

PolymarketSports2 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

F1 Constructors' Champion

Volume

$7.0M

Markets

2

Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 24h move / $90K

<1%

Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?

No 24h move / $86K

<1%

PolymarketSports5 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

NBA: LeBron James Next Team

Volume

$5.8M

Markets

5

Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?

-10.6pp / $275K

41%

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

+13.3pp / $164K

33%

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?

-1.1pp / $180K

15%

PolymarketSports1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

Volume

$5.0M

Open Interest

$425.3M

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)

0.0pp / $2.1M

70%

PolymarketSports5 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Norway vs. England - More Markets

Volume

$4.1M

Markets

5

Norway vs. England: Team to Advance

+0.5pp / $834K

35%

Norway vs. England: O/U 2.5

+0.8pp / $250K

56%

Spread: Norway (-4.5)

-0.1pp / $132K

<1%

PolymarketWorld1 marketJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Iran leader end of 2026?

Volume

$3.6M

Markets

1

Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?

0.0pp / $849K

<1%

PolymarketSports3 marketsJul 10, 5:30 PM EDT

Norway vs. England

Volume

$3.5M

Markets

3

Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?

+1.0pp / $866K

24%

Will England win on 2026-07-11?

-0.7pp / $540K

51%

Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?

No 24h move / $147K

26%