Business / 1 MIN READ
Today's market video report — 2 stories moving prediction markets on August 17, 2026.
Markets in this brief
Odds for every market mentioned in today's video.
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.
Watch today's Prediction Market Network video brief above.
Iran Shuts the Door — Well, the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed as Iran's foreign minister rules out negotiations. The market now gives just a 51% chance of ever reopening that diplomatic path — and that's being generous. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/iran-rules-out-talks-as-us-iran-accord-expires-without-exten-355388-20260817
Naval Standoff Continues — The US says it can maintain that naval blockade indefinitely, but the diplomatic track is expiring with just a 9% chance of extension. At this rate, the only thing floating is uncertainty. Full story: https://www.predictionmarketnetwork.com/article/us-iran-peace-talks-remain-stalled-as-diplomatic-track-nears-266361-20260816