Live market ticker. Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?: 99 percent; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?: 74 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting: Fed maintains rate?: 71 percent; Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?: 2 percent; Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 1 percent