Live market ticker. Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 60 percent; Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?: 94 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 17 percent; Will Augusto Cury win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 2 percent; Fed rate hike in 2026?: 72 percent