A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this elec...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+1.0pp over 24h
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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-0.7pp over 24h
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Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-0.4pp over 24h
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Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+0.3pp over 24h
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Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-0.3pp over 24h
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Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+0.1pp over 24h
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Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
-0.1pp over 24h
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Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+0.1pp over 24h
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Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Aldo Rebelo win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
No 24h delta available yet
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