Live market ticker. Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?: 39 percent; 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House: 12 percent; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?: 71 percent; Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?: 3 percent; Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?: 2 percent