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Live market ticker. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?: 47 percent; GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?: 19 percent; What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?: 100 percent; Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?: 9 percent; Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 3 percent
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?47%+27.5ppPOLYMARKET·GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?19%-61.0ppPOLYMARKET·What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?>99%+34.0ppKALSHI·Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?9%-60.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3%POLYMARKET·Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?<1%POLYMARKET·Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?11%POLYMARKET·Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?96%+21.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?7%POLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?90%KALSHI·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%POLYMARKET·Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?19%POLYMARKET·China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.557%+3.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?5%POLYMARKET·Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?14%KALSHI·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their April 2027 meeting?62%+53.0ppKALSHI·Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance46%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship?4%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?74%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?4%-0.4ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?16%POLYMARKET·Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?56%+16.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?26%+9.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?65%-7.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their July 2027 meeting?14%-21.0ppKALSHI·
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