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Live market ticker. US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?: 45 percent; Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?: 37 percent; GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?: 56 percent; Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: 94 percent; New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves: 3 percent
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?45%+25.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?37%-38.5ppPOLYMARKET·GPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?56%-26.0ppPOLYMARKET·Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds94%+46.5ppPOLYMARKET·New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves3%-36.9ppPOLYMARKET·Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians85%+42.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?3%POLYMARKET·Will Javier Milei be the next leader out before 2027?<1%POLYMARKET·Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?11%POLYMARKET·Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Philadelphia Phillies vs. Kansas City Royals81%+22.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Yaël Braun-Pivet win the 2027 French presidential election?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 June 29-July 5?29%+10.6ppPOLYMARKET·Trump out as President before 2027?8%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 5?94%+24.8ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?20%+17.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%POLYMARKET·Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?20%POLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?90%KALSHI·China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Tampa Bay Rays vs. Houston Astros64%+13.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?5%POLYMARKET·What will Donald Trump say during July 4th TRIBUTE TO AMERICA rally?30%-26.0ppKALSHI·Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?95%+9.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Michelle Obama be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028?1%+0.3ppKALSHI·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their April 2027 meeting?62%+53.0ppKALSHI·Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance47%POLYMARKET·Tampa Bay vs Houston Total Runs?84%KALSHI·
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