Live market ticker. Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?: 27 percent; Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 18, 2026?: 87 percent; Will Tie win Outstanding Variety Special (Pre-Recorded) at the Emmy Awards?: 2 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 29 percent; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?: 71 percent