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Live market ticker. Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?: 79 percent; GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?: 33 percent; Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?: 88 percent; Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?: 0 percent; Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?: 4 percent
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?79%+51.0ppPOLYMARKET·GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?33%-21.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will GPT-5.6 not be released by June 28, 2026?88%+48.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?4%POLYMARKET·Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34%+13.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padres9%-43.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?>99%+13.7ppPOLYMARKET·Spread: Portugal (-2.5)43%+8.0ppPOLYMARKET·Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?22%-13.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?77%-2.0ppKALSHI·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?<1%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?97%+4.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?37%POLYMARKET·Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?20%-8.5ppPOLYMARKET·Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.556%+5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?36%-18.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Spain be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?<1%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?7%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?49%POLYMARKET·Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?1%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?>99%POLYMARKET·Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?<1%POLYMARKET·Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?1%-0.4ppPOLYMARKET·
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