Live market ticker. Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?: 100 percent; Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 19, 2026?: 77 percent; US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?: 7 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 0 percent; Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?: 72 percent