Live market ticker. Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?: 63 percent; Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting: Hike 25bps?: 50 percent; Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?: 0 percent; Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?: 4 percent; Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?: 15 percent
If the increase in total non-farm payroll employment is above 30000 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics Monthly Employment Situation Report for the month of August 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.