Live market ticker. Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?: 47 percent; US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?: 18 percent; Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?: 100 percent; Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?: 26 percent; Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day?: 23 percent