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Live market ticker. US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?: 95 percent; Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?: 1 percent; Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?: 1 percent; Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?: 22 percent; US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?: 3 percent
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?95%+32.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?<1%-33.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?<1%-24.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?22%+15.6ppPOLYMARKET·US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?3%-40.9ppPOLYMARKET·Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?6%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?12%POLYMARKET·Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?36%+9.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their June 2026 meeting?99%KALSHI·Bitcoin Up or Down on June 15?98%+48.8ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?18%+10.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?39%-32.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?6%POLYMARKET·Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 81.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 16, 2026?18%-30.0ppKALSHI·Spread: Spain (-2.5)56%+5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?6%POLYMARKET·Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28%-5.5ppPOLYMARKET·Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?3%-3.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Jun 15, 2026?37%-29.0ppKALSHI·Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?17%+5.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?12%+7.6ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their July 2026 meeting?93%+2.0ppKALSHI·Best AI in Dec 2026?12%-3.7ppKALSHI·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?29%+6.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?>99%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?1%-0.9ppPOLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?65%+7.0ppPOLYMARKET·
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