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Live market ticker. Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?: 46 percent; Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?: 32 percent; Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?: 47 percent; France vs. Spain: Team to Advance: 59 percent; Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?: 30 percent
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by July 31?46%+21.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?32%-18.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?47%+28.0ppPOLYMARKET·France vs. Spain: Team to Advance59%-0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?30%-10.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?18%+1.4ppPOLYMARKET·Will Mostafa Pourmohammadi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?18%+1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?77%-1.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?34%-9.5ppPOLYMARKET·Fed rate hike in 2026?60%+2.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?9%POLYMARKET·Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?30%POLYMARKET·Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?4%+0.3ppPOLYMARKET·Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?9%POLYMARKET·Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?50%POLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?4%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by >25bps at their December 2027 meeting?2%-47.0ppKALSHI·Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?74%-12.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?80%+52.5ppPOLYMARKET·Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?4%-0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election?3%+0.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?45%+3.2ppPOLYMARKET·Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?<1%POLYMARKET·Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 13?28%-26.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1%+0.1ppPOLYMARKET·Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?17%-6.5ppPOLYMARKET·What will the announcers say during 2026 FIFA Men's World Cup Final?40%-20.0ppKALSHI·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?<1%POLYMARKET·Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?3%-1.6ppPOLYMARKET·
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