This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
Will Kristi Noem leave the Trump administration before 2027?
-5.3pp over 24h
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Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+10.0pp over 24h
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Will Dan Scavino leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+0.1pp over 24h
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Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+3.5pp over 24h
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Will Markwayne Mullin leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+10.0pp over 24h
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Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?
-1.0pp over 24h
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Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
-0.5pp over 24h
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Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+2.0pp over 24h
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Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
-1.5pp over 24h
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Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+0.5pp over 24h
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Will Russell Vought leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will John Ratcliffe leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
+1.5pp over 24h
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Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 24h delta available yet
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Will Scott Bessent leave the Trump administration before 2027?
No 24h delta available yet
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