Markets grouped around what is actually trading

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

0.0pp / $20K

Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?

-1.5pp / $50K

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

+3.0pp / $9K

Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

-3.5pp / $91K

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

+3.5pp / $55K

Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

+2.0pp / $50K

Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

+1.9pp / $29K

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 24h move / $320

Will Stripe have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

No 24h move / $3K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?

-1.0pp / $10K

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

-2.0pp / $66K

Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?

No 24h move / $2.1M

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

No 24h move / $3K

Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

+0.1pp / $16K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

+10.5pp / $71K

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?

-1.0pp / $9K

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-24.5pp / $65K

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

+28.5pp / $56K

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-3.1pp / $23K

Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?

-2.0pp / $3K

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

+14.0pp / $32K

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

+7.0pp / $69K

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?

-13.0pp / $28K

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?

-1.0pp / $73K

Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?

+0.8pp / $733

Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?

No 24h move / $207

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

-6.0pp / $10K

Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?

-0.2pp / $14K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1?

+7.9pp / $223K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 1?

-7.4pp / $149K

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 1?

+2.0pp / $52K

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

-0.1pp / $49K

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

No 24h move / $22K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

-2.0pp / $76K

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 7?

+4.5pp / $72K

Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

+2.0pp / $86K

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

-1.0pp / $50K

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

-0.4pp / $1K

Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?

0.0pp / $86

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

+0.7pp / $62

Valorant: TYLOO vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT Champions Group C

-24.4pp / $828K

Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)

-50.4pp / $105K

Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?

-9.0pp / $10K

Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?

-6.5pp / $2K