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Live Market Board
Event clusters from Polymarket and Kalshi with active market counts, volume, liquidity cues, and the highest-signal contracts inside each event.
Events
120
Markets
333
Volume
$763.9M
Sources
120/0
Poly/Kalshi
Politics / 5 markets
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
-0.1pp / $110K
<1%
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
0.0pp / $104K
<1%
Volume
$176.0M
World / 1 market
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
-1.0pp / $313K
15%
Volume
$72.2M
World / 1 market
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
0.0pp / $49K
2%
Volume
$43.6M
Ranked by activity · Page 1 of 5
Aliens / Politics / Culture / Science
Volume
$40.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?
-0.2pp / $99K
1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
0.0pp / $76K
3%
Soccer / Sports / Awards / Ballon d'Or
Volume
$38.9M
Open Interest
$2703.9M
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+1.3pp / $60K
47%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
-0.3pp / $71K
2%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
+1.0pp / $69K
48%
Volume
$36.9M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.2pp / $175K
20%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.0pp / $50K
<1%
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
+0.1pp / $75K
<1%
Volume
$35.7M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
+0.5pp / $9K
3%
Volume
$29.6M
Open Interest
$1689.9M
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?
-0.1pp / $144K
13%
Will Nicolas Dupont-Aignan win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $90K
<1%
Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
0.0pp / $77K
<1%
Volume
$29.0M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
0.0pp / $424K
<1%
Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
-3.0pp / $153K
6%
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?
+1.0pp / $46K
23%
Reza Pahlavi / Iran Regime / Iran / Israel / World
Volume
$26.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
-1.0pp / $68K
6%
Awards / Politics / Geopolitics / World / Nobel Prize
Volume
$26.4M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
-0.2pp / $88K
<1%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.2M
<1%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
No 24h move / $1.1M
<1%
putin / Geopolitics / Ukraine / Politics / World
Volume
$24.3M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
+0.4pp / $277K
3%
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
-1.0pp / $4K
10%
Volume
$23.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
-0.1pp / $52K
5%
Volume
$17.4M
Markets
1
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
0.0pp / $1.2M
16%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
+0.3pp / $708K
84%
Politics / ships / Geopolitics / Economy / Iran Ceasefire
Volume
$14.2M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
0.0pp / $46K
19%
Volume
$14.2M
Markets
2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $315K
<1%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.0pp / $257K
<1%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
-0.1pp / $160K
<1%
Volume
$14.1M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0.0pp / $181K
93%
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
0.0pp / $156K
8%
Rewards 200, 4.5, 50 Deprec / Fed Rates / Economic Policy / Fed / Business
Volume
$12.3M
Open Interest
$676.0M
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
+0.1pp / $7K
2%
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
-0.1pp / $7K
96%
Volume
$11.3M
Open Interest
$676.0M
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
+1.0pp / $348K
9%
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
+0.1pp / $148K
<1%
2026 Balance of Power: Other
+0.2pp / $68K
<1%
Iran / Trump / Blockade / Politics / shipping
Volume
$7.9M
Open Interest
$676.0M
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?
-1.0pp / $109K
23%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
-0.6pp / $58K
50%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
-1.0pp / $334K
13%
Volume
$6.2M
Markets
2
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
0.0pp / $74K
36%
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
-2.0pp / $58K
9%
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
No 24h move / $63K
<1%
Volume
$3.4M
Open Interest
$338.0M
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
-0.1pp / $1
4%
Volume
$2.8M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
0.0pp / $633
9%
Volume
$2.7M
Open Interest
$338.0M
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group Stage
-56.4pp / $2.6M
<1%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)
No 24h move / $122K
<1%
Politics / houthi / Iran / traffic / Strait of Hormuz
Volume
$2.5M
Markets
2
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
-1.0pp / $71K
16%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
No 24h move / $41K
6%
Volume
$2.3M
Markets
2
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
-2.4pp / $1K
51%
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
+1.0pp / $1K
47%
Volume
$2.2M
Markets
14
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
+0.3pp / $82K
<1%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
-2.0pp / $8K
47%
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?
No 24h move / $21K
43%
© 2026 Prediction Market Network. Market data references Polymarket and Kalshi and may change rapidly.