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US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?4%-11.0ppPOLYMARKET·US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?16%-5.0ppPOLYMARKET·Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 17, 2026?63%+12.0ppKALSHI·Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?25%POLYMARKET·Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?34%+14.5ppPOLYMARKET·

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Prediction Market Network

120 Filtered Events

Ranked by activity · Page 3 of 5

PolymarketSports2 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Racing Club De Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain

Volume

$902K

Markets

2

Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-16?

-56.4pp / $652K

<1%

Will Racing Club De Lens win on 2026-08-16?

+81.0pp / $231K

>99%

PolymarketWorld8 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

Volume

$865K

Markets

8

Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?

-4.9pp / $203

27%

Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?

+1.5pp / $65

64%

Will the US strike 14 countries in 2026?

No 24h move / $150K

<1%

PolymarketPolitics1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

Volume

$824K

Markets

1

Will Mike Johnson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

+0.1pp / $191K

<1%

PolymarketTechnology2 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Anthropic IPO by __?

Finance / IPO / Anthropic IPO / Anthropic / IPOs

Volume

$804K

Markets

2

Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?

No 24h move / $3K

83%

Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?

+2.5pp / $13K

70%

PolymarketWorld1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

US strike on Mexico

Volume

$714K

Markets

1

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

-0.5pp / $223

13%

PolymarketCulture25 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Culture / Politics / Tweet Markets

Volume

$713K

Markets

25

Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

+2.5pp / $22K

6%

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

+5.3pp / $7K

15%

Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?

No 24h move / $21K

<1%

PolymarketMarkets4 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

What price will Bitcoin hit August 10-16?

Volume

$709K

Markets

4

Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16?

-4.6pp / $78K

3%

Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 August 10-16?

-1.0pp / $51K

<1%

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 10-16?

-0.4pp / $42K

<1%

PolymarketTechnology2 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Largest Company end of August?

Tech / Economy / Finance / Big Tech / Business

Volume

$696K

Markets

2

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

No 24h move / $2K

97%

Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?

No 24h move / $21K

<1%

PolymarketSports1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin

Volume

$664K

Markets

1

Cincinnati Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Sofia Kenin

+10.5pp / $663K

>99%

PolymarketSports3 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

Volume

$572K

Markets

3

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5

-23.5pp / $153K

33%

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics

-4.0pp / $351K

52%

Texas Rangers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5

-23.0pp / $68K

26%

PolymarketTechnology3 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

GPT-6 released by…?

Volume

$531K

Markets

3

Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?

-1.5pp / $2K

6%

Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?

+0.1pp / $2K

2%

Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?

+1.0pp / $2K

31%

PolymarketEconomy2 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting

Jerome Powell / Fed / Fed Rates / Finance / Economy

Volume

$523K

Markets

2

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

+0.1pp / $4K

1%

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

-1.0pp / $2K

15%

PolymarketSports3 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

Volume

$519K

Markets

3

LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 2 Winner

+52.0pp / $327K

>99%

LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M - Game 1 Winner

+58.5pp / $114K

>99%

LoL: paiN Gaming vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season

+58.5pp / $75K

>99%

PolymarketTechnology1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

Volume

$438K

Markets

1

Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?

-2.0pp / $4K

81%

PolymarketWorld1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Volume

$426K

Markets

1

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

-1.5pp / $95

7%

PolymarketSports3 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream

Volume

$419K

Markets

3

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream

+23.0pp / $217K

68%

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 188.5

-19.0pp / $44K

32%

Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 187.5

No 24h move / $158K

29%

PolymarketSports3 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels

Volume

$419K

Markets

3

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels

+39.0pp / $129K

93%

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 8.5

-44.5pp / $161K

14%

Kansas City Royals vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5

-41.0pp / $128K

8%

PolymarketSports2 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

CA Mineiro vs. Grêmio FBPA

Volume

$418K

Markets

2

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-08-15?

+47.4pp / $370K

>99%

Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-08-15?

-20.4pp / $47K

<1%

PolymarketTechnology8 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Volume

$394K

Markets

8

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

+2.5pp / $3K

69%

Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

0.0pp / $4K

<1%

Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-0.5pp / $2K

<1%

PolymarketSports1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs

Volume

$363K

Markets

1

Cincinnati Open: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Zizou Bergs

+22.0pp / $362K

76%

PolymarketEconomy2 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Fed Decision in October?

Fed / fomc / Trump / Economy / Fed Rates

Volume

$336K

Markets

2

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

+0.3pp / $10K

5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

No 24h move / $491

72%

PolymarketPolitics1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?

Volume

$321K

Markets

1

Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31?

-2.5pp / $6K

12%

PolymarketPolitics19 marketsAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

Volume

$300K

Markets

19

Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026?

+8.0pp / $11K

32%

Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2026?

-1.7pp / $85K

5%

Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?

+4.5pp / $18K

42%

PolymarketSports1 marketAug 16, 5:45 PM EDT

Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Volume

$276K

Markets

1

Cincinnati Open: Katerina Siniakova vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

+12.0pp / $276K

63%