Markets grouped around what is actually trading

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

-0.5pp / $6K

Steelers vs. Browns

-1.0pp / $455K

Spread: Browns (-3.5)

+1.0pp / $176K

Steelers vs. Browns: O/U 38.5

-1.0pp / $67K

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15?

-7.5pp / $56K

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

-4.2pp / $24K

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

+4.0pp / $5K

Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

No 24h move / $32K

Iran leadership change by October 31?

-0.9pp / $33K

Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?

No 24h move / $4K

Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?

+3.0pp / $416K

Will Wales vs. Norway end in a draw?

-1.0pp / $84K

Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

+6.5pp / $84K

Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?

-6.5pp / $67K

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

-60.0pp / $132K

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

+60.5pp / $173K

Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?

No 24h move / $63K

Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?

-0.4pp / $80K

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 24h move / $230

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

-3.5pp / $91K

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

-14.0pp / $274K

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Luminosity - Map 2 Winner

+19.0pp / $82K

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-25.0pp / $68K

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

+28.5pp / $56K

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?

-3.1pp / $23K

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

+3.0pp / $4K

Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

No 24h move / $29K

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?

-0.1pp / $9K

Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?

-0.6pp / $4K

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Adolfo Vallejo vs Rafael Jodar

+81.5pp / $386K

China Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Andrey Rublev

+5.0pp / $318K

Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Group D

-2.0pp / $174K

Map Handicap: NS (-1.5) vs XLG Gaming (+1.5)

-1.0pp / $141K

Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4?

-9.5pp / $90K

Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 28-October 4?

-2.0pp / $58K

Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Nemiga (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 4 Playoffs

-3.0pp / $158K

Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Nemiga (+1.5)

-7.0pp / $123K

Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01?

No 24h move / $220K

Will STRC hit $100 by December 31?

+1.5pp / $977

Japan Open Tennis Championships: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Matteo Berrettini

-55.4pp / $280K

Germany vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5

+3.5pp / $129K

Spread: Serbia (-1.5)

-0.6pp / $138K