Boston College at SMU

Saturday, October 3 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEACC GAME

AWAYBoston CollegeEagles8%chance to win · Polymarket 7.5% · Kalshi 8.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 1 DAYSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMESMUMustangs92%chance to win · Polymarket 92.5% · Kalshi 91.5%

Favorite: SMU, 92%Spread: SMU −21.5Total: 55.5The sites are 1.0 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the chance to win.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance SMU wins	92.5%	91.5%	1.0 pts
Spread: SMU −21.5Chance SMU wins by 22 or more	48.5%	48.5%	Same
Total: 55.5 pointsChance of 56 or more points combined	48.5%	48.5%	Same

SMU has stayed between 91.5% and 92.5% since Oct 1. Polymarket has 92.5% and Kalshi 91.5% now.

SMU Mustangs: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

90%95%100%Oct 2Polymarket 92.5%Kalshi 91.5%

Both teams play in the ACC, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the ACC	Win the national title
Boston CollegeEagles	—Not listed	0.8%P 0.8 · K 1*	—Not listed
SMUMustangs	8.8%P 8 · K 9.5	5.8%P 5.1 · K 6.5	1%P — · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.