Indiana at Michigan

Saturday, October 24 · 12:00 PM ET · Saturday early game

COLLEGE FOOTBALL · SATURDAY EARLY GAMEBIG TEN GAME

AWAYIndianaHoosiers71.7%chance to win · Polymarket 72% · Kalshi 71.5%

atKICKS OFFIN 2 DAYSSat 12:00 PM ET

HOMEMichiganWolverines28.3%chance to win · Polymarket 28% · Kalshi 28.5%

Favorite: Indiana, 71.7%Spread: Indiana −7.5Total: 41.5The sites are 0.5 pts apart

The two sites nearly agree

Polymarket and Kalshi are within 1 point of each other on every line here. The biggest difference is on the spread.

MARKET	POLYMARKET	KALSHI	DIFFERENCE
To winChance Indiana wins	72%	71.5%	0.5 pts
Spread: Indiana −7.5Chance Indiana wins by 8 or more	47.5%	48.5%	1.0 pts
Total: 41.5 pointsChance of 42 or more points combined	52.5%	51.5%	1.0 pts

Indiana has stayed between 69.5% and 78.5% since Oct 13. Polymarket has 72% and Kalshi 71.5% now.

Indiana Hoosiers: chance to winPolymarketKalshiEach site's price as the sports room checked it

65%70%75%80%Oct 14Oct 16Oct 18Oct 20Oct 22Polymarket 72%Kalshi 71.5%

Both teams play in the Big Ten, so this game counts toward the conference title.

TEAM	Make the playoff	Win the Big Ten	Win the national title
IndianaHoosiers	79.5%P 87* · K 79.5	24%P 24.5 · K 23.5	7.6%P 7.7 · K 7.5
MichiganWolverines	7%P 8.4 · K 5.5	1.3%P 1.5* · K 1*	0.2%P 0.2 · K 1*

* Last trade only: that site has no live price right now, so it is left out of the average. A number in gray comes from last trades alone.